Marvin Nakayama
Marvin Nakayama
Professor, Computer Science
4312 Guttenberg Information Technologies Center (GITC)
About Me
Marvin Nakayama is a professor in the computer science department at NJIT. He has a Ph.D. and M.S. in operations research from Stanford University, and a B.A. in mathematics-computer science from U.C. San Diego. A recipient of a CAREER award from NSF, he served as the simulation area editor for INFORMS Journal on Computing, and is on the editorial board of ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation.
Education
Ph.D.; Stanford University; Operations Research; 1991
M.S.; Stanford University; Operations Research; 1988
B.A.; University of California-San Diego; Mathematics-Computer Science; 1986
M.S.; Stanford University; Operations Research; 1988
B.A.; University of California-San Diego; Mathematics-Computer Science; 1986
Website
2024 Fall Courses
IS 726 - INDEPENDENT STUDY II
CS 701B - MASTER'S THESIS
CS 725 - INDEPENDENT STUDY I
CS 726 - INDEPENDENT STUDY II
CS 790A - DOCT DISSERTATION & RES
IS 488 - INDEPENDENT STUDY IN INFO
CS 488 - INDEPENDENT STUDY IN CS
CS 792 - PRE-DOCTORAL RESEARCH
IS 700B - MASTER'S PROJECT
IS 776 - IS RESEARCH STUDY
IS 725 - INDEPENDENT STUDY I
IS 701B - MASTER'S THESIS
CS 700B - MASTER'S PROJECT
IS 489 - INFO UNDERGRAD THESIS RESEARCH
IS 790A - DOCT DISSERTATION & RES
IS 792 - PRE-DOCTORAL RESEARCH
CS 701B - MASTER'S THESIS
CS 725 - INDEPENDENT STUDY I
CS 726 - INDEPENDENT STUDY II
CS 790A - DOCT DISSERTATION & RES
IS 488 - INDEPENDENT STUDY IN INFO
CS 488 - INDEPENDENT STUDY IN CS
CS 792 - PRE-DOCTORAL RESEARCH
IS 700B - MASTER'S PROJECT
IS 776 - IS RESEARCH STUDY
IS 725 - INDEPENDENT STUDY I
IS 701B - MASTER'S THESIS
CS 700B - MASTER'S PROJECT
IS 489 - INFO UNDERGRAD THESIS RESEARCH
IS 790A - DOCT DISSERTATION & RES
IS 792 - PRE-DOCTORAL RESEARCH
Teaching Interests
Theory of Computation, Stochastic Simulation and Modeling
Past Courses
CS 103: COMPUT SCI-BUSINESS PROB
CS 341: FOUND OF COMPUTER SCIENCE II
CS 341: FOUNDATIONS OF COMPUTER SCIENCE II
CS 661: SYSTEMS SIMULATION
IE 651: INDUSTRIAL SYM & MODEL
CS 341: FOUND OF COMPUTER SCIENCE II
CS 341: FOUNDATIONS OF COMPUTER SCIENCE II
CS 661: SYSTEMS SIMULATION
IE 651: INDUSTRIAL SYM & MODEL
Research Interests
Stochastic modeling, Monte Carlo, randomized quasi-Monte Carlo, discrete-event simulation, variance reduction, output analysis, statistics, fault-tolerant computing, risk analysis, energy.
Journal Article
Nakayama, Marvin K., & Tuffin, Bruno (2024). Sufficient Conditions for Central Limit Theorems and Confidence Intervals for Randomized Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 34(3), 1–38.
Li, Yajuan K, & Kaplan, Zachary T., & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2024). Monte Carlo Methods for Economic Capital. INFORMS Journal on Computing, 36(1), 266–284.
Blanchet, Jose, & Li, Juan, & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2019). Rare-Event Simulation for Distribution Networks. Operations Research, 67(5), 1383–1396.
Dong, Hui, & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2017). Quantile Estimation With Latin Hypercube Sampling. Operations Research, 65(6), 1678-1695.
Alban, Andres, & Darji, Hardik, & Imamura, Atsuki, & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2017). Efficient Monte Carlo Methods for Estimating Failure Probabilities. Reliability Engineering and System Safety/Elsevier, 165, 376-394.
Li, Yajuan K, & Kaplan, Zachary T., & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2024). Monte Carlo Methods for Economic Capital. INFORMS Journal on Computing, 36(1), 266–284.
Blanchet, Jose, & Li, Juan, & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2019). Rare-Event Simulation for Distribution Networks. Operations Research, 67(5), 1383–1396.
Dong, Hui, & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2017). Quantile Estimation With Latin Hypercube Sampling. Operations Research, 65(6), 1678-1695.
Alban, Andres, & Darji, Hardik, & Imamura, Atsuki, & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2017). Efficient Monte Carlo Methods for Estimating Failure Probabilities. Reliability Engineering and System Safety/Elsevier, 165, 376-394.
SHOW MORE
Sanghavi, Mihir, & Tadepalli, Sashank, & Boyle, Timothy J., & Downey, Matthew, & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2017). Efficient Algorithms for Analyzing Cascading Failures in a Markovian Dependability Model. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 66(2), 258 - 280.
Grabaskas, Dave, & Nakayama, Marvin K., & Denning, Richard , & Aldemir, Tunc (2016). Advantages of Variance Reduction Techniques in Establishing Confidence Intervals for Quantiles. Reliability Engineering and System Safety/Elsevier, 149, 187-203.
Calvin, James M., & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2015). Resampled Regenerative Estimators. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 25(4), 27 pages.
Nakayama, Marvin K. (2014). Confidence Intervals for Quantiles Using Sectioning When Applying Variance-Reduction Techniques. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 24(4), 21.
Chu, Fang, & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2012). Confidence Intervals for Quantiles Estimated Using Variance-Reduction Techniques. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 22(2), Article 10, 37 pages plus 12-page online-only appendix.
Nakayama, Marvin K. (2011). Asymptotically Valid Confidence Intervals for Quantiles and Values-at-Risk When Applying Latin Hypercube Sampling. International Journal on Advances in Systems and Measurements, 4(1), 86-94.
Nzouonta, Josiane, & Nakayama, Marvin K., & Borcea, Cristian M. (2011). On Deriving and Incorporating Multi-hop Path Duration Estimates in VANET Protocols. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 21(2), 25 pages.
Iyer, Srinivasan M, & Nakayama, Marvin K., & Gerbessiotis, Alexandros (2009). A Markovian Dependability Model With Cascading Failures. IEEE Transaction on Computers, 58(9), 1238-1249.
Nakayama, Marvin K. (2009). Asymptotically Valid Single-StageMultiple-Comparison Procedures. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 139(4), 1348-1356.
Grabaskas, Dave, & Nakayama, Marvin K., & Denning, Richard , & Aldemir, Tunc (2016). Advantages of Variance Reduction Techniques in Establishing Confidence Intervals for Quantiles. Reliability Engineering and System Safety/Elsevier, 149, 187-203.
Calvin, James M., & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2015). Resampled Regenerative Estimators. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 25(4), 27 pages.
Nakayama, Marvin K. (2014). Confidence Intervals for Quantiles Using Sectioning When Applying Variance-Reduction Techniques. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 24(4), 21.
Chu, Fang, & Nakayama, Marvin K. (2012). Confidence Intervals for Quantiles Estimated Using Variance-Reduction Techniques. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 22(2), Article 10, 37 pages plus 12-page online-only appendix.
Nakayama, Marvin K. (2011). Asymptotically Valid Confidence Intervals for Quantiles and Values-at-Risk When Applying Latin Hypercube Sampling. International Journal on Advances in Systems and Measurements, 4(1), 86-94.
Nzouonta, Josiane, & Nakayama, Marvin K., & Borcea, Cristian M. (2011). On Deriving and Incorporating Multi-hop Path Duration Estimates in VANET Protocols. ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation, 21(2), 25 pages.
Iyer, Srinivasan M, & Nakayama, Marvin K., & Gerbessiotis, Alexandros (2009). A Markovian Dependability Model With Cascading Failures. IEEE Transaction on Computers, 58(9), 1238-1249.
Nakayama, Marvin K. (2009). Asymptotically Valid Single-StageMultiple-Comparison Procedures. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 139(4), 1348-1356.
COLLAPSE
Conference Paper
Efficiency of Estimating Functions of Means in Rare-Event Contexts
IEEE, December 2023
Confidence Intervals for Randomized Quasi-Monte Carlo Estimators
IEEE, December 2023
Density Estimators of the Cumulative Reward up to a Hitting Time to a Rarely Visited Set of a Regenerative System
IEEE, December 2022
Sufficient Conditions for a Central Limit Theorem to Assess the Error of Randomized Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods
IEEE, December 2021
Comparing Regenerative-Simulation-Based Estimators of the Distribution of the Hitting Time to a Rarely Visited Set
IEEE, December 2020
IEEE, December 2023
Confidence Intervals for Randomized Quasi-Monte Carlo Estimators
IEEE, December 2023
Density Estimators of the Cumulative Reward up to a Hitting Time to a Rarely Visited Set of a Regenerative System
IEEE, December 2022
Sufficient Conditions for a Central Limit Theorem to Assess the Error of Randomized Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods
IEEE, December 2021
Comparing Regenerative-Simulation-Based Estimators of the Distribution of the Hitting Time to a Rarely Visited Set
IEEE, December 2020
SHOW MORE
Quantile Estimation via a Combination of Conditional Monte Carlo and Randomized Quasi-Monte Carlo
IEEE, December 2020
Monte Carlo Estimation of Economic Capital
2018 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2018
Using Regenerative Simulation to Calibrate Exponential Approximations to Risk Measures of Hitting Times to Rarely Visited Sets
2018 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2018
History of Improving Statistical Efficiency
2017 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2017
IEEE, December 2020
Monte Carlo Estimation of Economic Capital
2018 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2018
Using Regenerative Simulation to Calibrate Exponential Approximations to Risk Measures of Hitting Times to Rarely Visited Sets
2018 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2018
History of Improving Statistical Efficiency
2017 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2017
COLLAPSE
Chapter
Nakayama, Marvin K., & Tuffin, Bruno (2022). Array-RQMC to Speed up the Simulation for Estimating the Hitting-Time Distribution to a Rare Set of a Regenerative System, Zdravko Botev, Alexander Keller, Christiane Lemieux, Bruno Tuffin (Eds.), Springer. (pp. 333-352). Springer
Conference Proceeding
A Tutorial on Quantile Estimation via Monte Carlo
Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, January (1st Quarter/Winter) 2020
Efficient Estimation of the Mean Hitting Time to a Set of a Regenerative System
IEEE, December 2019
Randomized Quasi-Monte Carlo for Quantile Estimation
IEEE, December 2019
On the Estimation of Mean Time to Failure by Simulation
2017 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2017
Quantile Estimation Using Conditional Monte Carlo and Latin Hypercube Sampling
2017 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2017
Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, January (1st Quarter/Winter) 2020
Efficient Estimation of the Mean Hitting Time to a Set of a Regenerative System
IEEE, December 2019
Randomized Quasi-Monte Carlo for Quantile Estimation
IEEE, December 2019
On the Estimation of Mean Time to Failure by Simulation
2017 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2017
Quantile Estimation Using Conditional Monte Carlo and Latin Hypercube Sampling
2017 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2017
SHOW MORE
Efficient Quantile Estimation via a Combination of Importance Sampling and Latin Hypercube Sampling
Proceedings of the 31st Annual European Simulation and Modelling Conference, October (4th Quarter/Autumn) 2017
Variance Reduction for Estimating a Failure Probability with Multiple Criteria
2016 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2016
Efficient Quantile Estimation When Applying Stratified Sampling and Conditional Monte Carlo, With Applications to Nuclear Safety
Proceedings of The Eighth International Conference on Advances in System Simulation (SIMUL 2016), IARIA, August 2016
Estimating a Failure Probability Using a Combination of Variance-Reduction Techniques
Proceedings of the 2015 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2015
Quantile Estimation Using a Combination of Stratied Sampling and Control Variates
International Conference on Industrial Engineering, Management Science and Applications 2015, May 2015
Quantifying Safety Margin Using the Risk-Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC)
International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis, American Nuclear Society, April (2nd Quarter/Spring) 2015
Constructing Confidence Intervals for a Quantile Using Batching and Sectioning When Applying Latin Hypercube Sampling
Proceedings of the 2014 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2014
Quantile Estimation When Applying Conditional Monte Carlo
SIMULTECH 2014 Proceedings, August 2014
Using Sectioning to Construct Confidence Intervals for Quantiles When Applying Antithetic Variates
Proceedings of the 2014 Summer Simulation Multi-Conference, July (3rd Quarter/Summer) 2014
Confidence Intervals for Quantiles with Standardized Time Series
Proceedings of the 2013 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2013
Using Sectioning to Construct Confidence Intervals for Quantiles When Applying Importance Sampling
Winter Simulation Conference, December 2012
Confidence Intervals for Quantiles When Applying Replicated Latin Hypercube Sampling and Sectioning
Autumn Simulation Conference, The Society for Modeling & Simulation International, October (4th Quarter/Autumn) 2012
The Use of Latin Hypercube Sampling for the Efficient Estimation of Confidence Intervals
American Nuclear Society, International Congress on Advances in Nuclear Power Plants (ICAPP 2012), June 2012
A Conditional Monte Carlo Method for Estimating the Failure Probability of a Distribution Network With Random Demands
Winter Simulation Conference, December 2011
Asymptotic Properties of Kernel Density Estimators When Applying Importance Sampling
Winter Simulation Conference, December 2011
Kernel Density Estimation When Importance Sampling is Applied
INFORMS Applied Probability Conference, July (3rd Quarter/Summer) 2011
Confidence Intervals for Quantiles and Value-at-Risk When Applying Importance Sampling
2010 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2010
Confidence Intervals for Quantiles When Applying Latin Hypercube Sampling
The Second International Conference on Advances in System Simulation, August 2010
Confidence Intervals for Quantiles When Applying Variance-Reduction Techniques
8th International Workshop on Rare Event Simulation, June 2010
A General Framework for the Asymptotic Validity of Two-Stage Procedures for Selection and Multiple Comparisons with Consistent Variance Estimators
Winter Simulation Conference, December 2009
Vulnerability Assessment for Cascading Failures in Electric Power Systems
IEEE Power and Energy Society Power Systems Conference and Exposition 2009, March 2009
Statistical Analysis of Simulation Output
2008 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2008
Run-Length Variability of Two-Stage Multiple Comparisons with the Best for Steady-State Simulations and its Implications For Choosing First-Stage Run Lengths
2008 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2008
Proceedings of the 31st Annual European Simulation and Modelling Conference, October (4th Quarter/Autumn) 2017
Variance Reduction for Estimating a Failure Probability with Multiple Criteria
2016 Winter Simulation Conference, IEEE, December 2016
Efficient Quantile Estimation When Applying Stratified Sampling and Conditional Monte Carlo, With Applications to Nuclear Safety
Proceedings of The Eighth International Conference on Advances in System Simulation (SIMUL 2016), IARIA, August 2016
Estimating a Failure Probability Using a Combination of Variance-Reduction Techniques
Proceedings of the 2015 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2015
Quantile Estimation Using a Combination of Stratied Sampling and Control Variates
International Conference on Industrial Engineering, Management Science and Applications 2015, May 2015
Quantifying Safety Margin Using the Risk-Informed Safety Margin Characterization (RISMC)
International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis, American Nuclear Society, April (2nd Quarter/Spring) 2015
Constructing Confidence Intervals for a Quantile Using Batching and Sectioning When Applying Latin Hypercube Sampling
Proceedings of the 2014 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2014
Quantile Estimation When Applying Conditional Monte Carlo
SIMULTECH 2014 Proceedings, August 2014
Using Sectioning to Construct Confidence Intervals for Quantiles When Applying Antithetic Variates
Proceedings of the 2014 Summer Simulation Multi-Conference, July (3rd Quarter/Summer) 2014
Confidence Intervals for Quantiles with Standardized Time Series
Proceedings of the 2013 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2013
Using Sectioning to Construct Confidence Intervals for Quantiles When Applying Importance Sampling
Winter Simulation Conference, December 2012
Confidence Intervals for Quantiles When Applying Replicated Latin Hypercube Sampling and Sectioning
Autumn Simulation Conference, The Society for Modeling & Simulation International, October (4th Quarter/Autumn) 2012
The Use of Latin Hypercube Sampling for the Efficient Estimation of Confidence Intervals
American Nuclear Society, International Congress on Advances in Nuclear Power Plants (ICAPP 2012), June 2012
A Conditional Monte Carlo Method for Estimating the Failure Probability of a Distribution Network With Random Demands
Winter Simulation Conference, December 2011
Asymptotic Properties of Kernel Density Estimators When Applying Importance Sampling
Winter Simulation Conference, December 2011
Kernel Density Estimation When Importance Sampling is Applied
INFORMS Applied Probability Conference, July (3rd Quarter/Summer) 2011
Confidence Intervals for Quantiles and Value-at-Risk When Applying Importance Sampling
2010 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2010
Confidence Intervals for Quantiles When Applying Latin Hypercube Sampling
The Second International Conference on Advances in System Simulation, August 2010
Confidence Intervals for Quantiles When Applying Variance-Reduction Techniques
8th International Workshop on Rare Event Simulation, June 2010
A General Framework for the Asymptotic Validity of Two-Stage Procedures for Selection and Multiple Comparisons with Consistent Variance Estimators
Winter Simulation Conference, December 2009
Vulnerability Assessment for Cascading Failures in Electric Power Systems
IEEE Power and Energy Society Power Systems Conference and Exposition 2009, March 2009
Statistical Analysis of Simulation Output
2008 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2008
Run-Length Variability of Two-Stage Multiple Comparisons with the Best for Steady-State Simulations and its Implications For Choosing First-Stage Run Lengths
2008 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2008
COLLAPSE
Conference Abstract
Quantile Estimation via a Combination of Conditional Monte Carlo and Latin Hypercube Sampling
13th International Conference in Monte Carlo & Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods in Scientific Computing, INRIA, July (3rd Quarter/Summer) 2018
13th International Conference in Monte Carlo & Quasi-Monte Carlo Methods in Scientific Computing, INRIA, July (3rd Quarter/Summer) 2018
Other
Efficient Monte Carlo Methods for Estimating Risk of Nuclear Power Plants
BOOK OF ABSTRACTS Eighth International Undergraduate Summer Research Symposium, July (3rd Quarter/Summer) 2015
Efficient Algorithms for Analyzing Cascading Failures in a Markovian Dependability Model
Book of Abstracts: Seventh International Summer Research Symposium, July (3rd Quarter/Summer) 2014
BOOK OF ABSTRACTS Eighth International Undergraduate Summer Research Symposium, July (3rd Quarter/Summer) 2015
Efficient Algorithms for Analyzing Cascading Failures in a Markovian Dependability Model
Book of Abstracts: Seventh International Summer Research Symposium, July (3rd Quarter/Summer) 2014
Technical Report
Characterization and Quantification of Safety Margin
Argonne National Laboratory, Department of Energy,
Argonne National Laboratory, Department of Energy,